Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.191186 1.376634 1.580838 1.822302 2.099979 2.409265 2.779895
2025-04-20 0.922918 1.162513 1.449061 1.816761 2.275930 2.830341 3.550721
2025-04-27 0.762003 1.034798 1.385415 1.868513 2.516522 3.355533 4.524694
2025-05-04 0.634603 0.921869 1.315655 1.893843 2.720447 3.859226 5.547764
2025-05-11 0.531874 0.821308 1.241886 1.895932 2.886313 4.329099 6.591185
2025-05-18 0.437694 0.714875 1.139765 1.836222 2.947715 4.651578 7.462350
2025-05-25 0.356657 0.613560 1.027312 1.739275 2.931885 4.847822 8.159634
2025-06-01 0.308448 0.556681 0.975105 1.728069 3.046796 5.258497 9.248985
2025-06-08 0.265010 0.500334 0.914336 1.691294 3.110000 5.587090 10.239050
2025-06-15 0.248043 0.488238 0.927850 1.785490 3.412914 6.361686 12.107303
2025-06-22 0.225144 0.461180 0.909794 1.817971 3.605589 6.960813 13.731413
2025-06-29 0.199477 0.424547 0.868099 1.798445 3.695084 7.376982 15.059699
2025-07-06 0.168120 0.372401 0.790483 1.700431 3.624478 7.492798 15.850136
2025-07-13 0.155398 0.357495 0.786147 1.752263 3.866689 8.260509 18.069180
2025-07-20 0.146836 0.350316 0.796974 1.838002 4.192923 9.243768 20.878199
2025-07-27 0.136005 0.336203 0.790605 1.884850 4.441014 10.094621 23.519991
2025-08-03 0.124165 0.317745 0.771679 1.900112 4.619823 10.817425 25.975860
2025-08-10 0.109524 0.290004 0.727018 1.847916 4.633737 11.170788 27.629693
2025-08-17 0.094514 0.258773 0.669212 1.754689 4.534742 11.247722 28.634706
2025-08-24 0.085873 0.242719 0.646516 1.745949 4.643150 11.831427 30.955251
2025-08-31 0.076937 0.224371 0.615239 1.710294 4.677732 12.238580 32.888423
2025-09-07 0.074778 0.224531 0.632552 1.806470 5.071409 13.598352 37.461481
2025-09-14 0.070105 0.216714 0.627198 1.839897 5.301068 14.565219 41.127025